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Florida State football: Analyzing Jimbo Fisher's 93 recruits signed 2010-13

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Jimbo Fisher has killed it in recruiting at Florida State, and the Seminoles have obviously been dominant (45-10 record, National Title, 2 ACC Titles, 3 ACC CG Appearances). But let's dig into that recruiting a bit more.

Now that the NFL draft is over, I thought it would be a good idea to take a look at all 93 recruits signed by Jimbo Fisher as head coach of the Florida State Seminoles from 2010-13. 

First, some definitions. "Complete" means that the player has exhausted his eligibility or has graduated and is no longer playing for Florida State (some players transfer elsewhere for a fifth year after graduating, and some forgo their final year of eligibility after getting a degree if they are headed to graduate school and aren't in line for playing time).

"On track" means that the player is still on the team and in good standing. "Early NFL" is obvious, but it also includes players who leave the football team to turn pro in other sports (track, baseball, etc.). "Did not qualify/DNQ" means that the player did not qualify for Florida State admission, and it should be noted that half of those instances were known by Florida State's staff and signing them was motivation for them to come back to the school once they are done with their junior college work.

"Medical DQ" means that the player suffered an injury or condition preventing him from continuing with his career, and the school continues to pay for his education and medical treatment related to the injury. "Dismissed" is the category for players who have been involuntarily removed from the program due to disciplinary reasons, or failed out. 

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What we see is that Florida State is achieving roughly 80 percent positive outcomes (complete, on track or early pro), while just 15 percent outcomes are arguably or definitively negative (transfers and dismissals). That ratio is absolutely ridiculous and, to be honest, might be unsustainable in the long term. The remaining four percent is in the unavoidable category, as football is not just a contact sport, but a collision sport, and injuries result. 

Let's break down the players individually. 

What happened to the 93 players signed under head coach Jimbo Fisher?
NamePosRatingStatusNote
The 2010 recruiting class
Lamarcus JoynerDB5 starsComplete3-year starter. All-Conference/All-America. NFL Draft second round.
Christian JonesLB5 starsComplete3-year starter at linebacker. NFL UDFA
Jeff LucLB4 starsTransferredBattled injury, poor coaching, etc. and did not grasp defense. Transferred to Cincinnati
Kenny ShawWR4 starsCompleteIn receiver rotation for four years. NFL UDFA
Christian GreenWR4 starsOn TrackRedshirted as freshman, promising second season, non-factor as RS-Soph and RS-JR.
Darious CummingsDE4 starsTransferredCould not crack rotation, transferred to JUCO, signed with UF
Greg DentWR4 starsDismissedDent, a major contributor was charged with rape and was suspended indefinitely.
Telvin SmithLB4 starsCompletePart-time starter 2011-12, started 2013, NFL Draft fourth round.
Mike HarrisDB4 starsCompletePart-time starter 2010-2011, 6th round NFL Draft
De'Joshua JohnsonWR4 starsDNQMisled coaches about his academics, failed to qualify, arrested multiple times after.
Jarred HagginsWR3 starsOn TrackIn receiver rotation for three years. Part-time starter. Often injured.
Chad AbramDB3 starsCompleteReserve defensive back moved to reserve fullback. Starting FB scored TD in Natl Champ Game. NFL UDFA
Terrence BrooksDB3 starsCompleteTwo-year starter, NFL Draft third round.
Holmes OnwukaifeLB3 starsMedicalBattled injury, couldn't crack rotation, medical DQ.
Damien JacobsDT3 starsDNQFailed to qualify, went to JUCO, signed with UF.
Tank SessionsTE3 starsMedicalCouldn't crack rotation, injured, medical DQ
Dan FooseOL3 starsMedicalOft-injured lineman had not cracked rotation, medical DQ.
Debrale SmileyRB3 starsCompleteReserve fullback from JUCO, played sparingly, didn't cause problems.
Cameron ErvingDT3 starsOn TrackSleeper defensive tackle has blossomed into a very good player both at defensive tackle and now at offensive tackle.
Nigel TerrellLB3 starsOn TrackAthletic linebacker from Birmingham, Terrell has not added much muscle and has not cracked the rotation.
Clint TrickettQB3 starsCompleteBackup quarterback has had mixed results when filling in for an injured E.J. Manuel. In the running to start in 2013. Graduated and transferred out to West Virginia.
Will TyeTE3 starsTransferBust. Tye never grasped the offense or fully dedicated himself the way one needs to do to succeed at Florida State.
Bjoern WernerDE3 starsEarly NFLSuperstar. Werner was a quality sub in 2010, and started in 2011 and 2012, playing at an All-American level. First round NFL Draft pick.
Anthony McCloudDT3 starsCompleteStarter of more than 30 games at nose guard. Has a shot to make an NFL roster.
The 2011 recruiting class
Karlos WilliamsDB5 starsOn TrackAmazing athlete, didn't make impact at safety. Moved to RB for 2013 and was explosive. Presumptive starter for 2014.
James Wilder Jr.RB5 starsEarly NFLExcellent athlete, Wilder has slowly grown into the running back role. Has been arrested at least thrice, not for malicious things, but criminal offenses nonetheless. Early NFL, UDFA.
Timmy JerniganDT4 starsEarly NFLJernigan was a very good defensive tackle for Florida State. His sophomore slump consisted of merely maintaining his level from 2010, which was a win for the Seminoles. Elite as a junior. NFL Draft second round.
Cornellius CarradineDE4 starsCompleteExcellent defensive end in 2011 and 2012, tore his knee in late November, still drafted early.
Nick O'LearyTE4 starsOn TrackThree-year starter at tight end needs to become more mature and avoid crashing two-wheeled vehicled. 
Kelvin BenjaminWR4 starsEarly NFLSuper talented receiver battled work ethic and maturity issues, but after a redshirt year, got on the field in 2012. Had a productive, but inconsistent year. Burst onto scene in 2013 and was dominant at times. First round NFL Draft.
Bobby HartOL4 starsOn TrackVery young offensive lineman battled work ethic and maturity issues early in career. Started some in 2011 when he should have been redshirting due to a ridiculous amount of injuries. Was good as starter in 2013. Will be a 20-year old senior in 2014.
Jacob FahrenkrugOL4 starsCompleteStarted some in 2011, none in 2012. Reserve level offensive lineman who battled injuries.
Rashad GreeneWR4 starsOn TrackFlorida State's best receiver as a freshman, sophomore and junior. Greene should only see his role increase in 2014.
Nile Lawrence-StampleDT4 starsOn TrackWide-bodied defensive tackle should see more snaps in 2013. Redshirted in 2011, played some as a reserve in 2012 and 2013. Should be important player in 2014.
Josue MatiasOL4 starsOn TrackStarted the last ~30 games at guard, should continue to do so in 2014.
Derrick MitchellDT4 starsOn TrackReserve DT has battled multiple injuries and has yet to make an impact.
Giorgio NewberryDE4 starsOn TrackDevelopment has been slow, moved from DE, to TE, now to DT.
Devonta FreemanRB4 starsEarly NFLSolid part-time starter at running back in both 2011 and 2012, excellent in 2013. NFL Draft Third Round.
Nick WaisomeDB4 starsOn TrackStarter at field corner in 2012 when Greg Reid was dismissed from the program, beaten out in 2013, could be important reserve in 2014.
Tyler HunterDB3 starsOn TrackStarter at nickel corner in 2012, neck injury 2013, could play big role in 2014.
Eric BeverlyRB3 starsMedicalBeverly battled injuries and was medically disqualified before the season.
Jordan PrestwoodOL3 starsTransferredPrestwood was a headcase who transferred before he even made it through a spring practice to be with his buddy Aaron Lynch at Notre Dame, then became homesick and left Notre Dame went to a JUCO.
Keelin SmithDB3 starsOn TrackReserve defensive back could see time in 2014. Redshirted in 2011.
Terrance SmithLB3 starsOn TrackA starter in 2013, now the most veteran of the impact linebackers.
Jacob CokerQB3 starsCompletePromising QB recruit redshirted in 2011, contended for starting job in 2013, injured, graduated and transferred to Alabama as graduate student.
Sterling LoveladyOL3 starsCompleteReserve offensive lineman who, like others, didn't redshirt in 2011 due to crazy offensive line injuries. Played sparingly in 2013, graduated, and will pursue law school.
Trey PettisOL3 starsTransferredReserve offensive lineman, has battled some injuries. Many question whether he wants to play football, or if he continues to do so to please those close to him. Eventually transferred, unable to get weight under control.
Ruben CarterOL3 starsOn TrackReserve offensive lineman. Redshirted in 2011. Could be a starter in 2015.
Tre' JacksonDT3 starsOn TrackJackson started the last ~30 games and is in line to be a three-year starter at guard. Good player.
Terry BellDT3 starsDNQSign-&-place. Was not expected to qualify.
Lamarcus BrutusDB3 starsOn TrackReserve defensive back. Redshirted in 2011.
Arrington JenkinsLB3 starsTransferredPromising linebacker stole a dirt bike and transferred out to a JUCO.
Austin BarronOL2 starsOn TrackReserve offensive lineman who, like others, didn't redshirt in 2011 due to crazy offensive line injuries. Should start in 2014.
The 2012 recruiting class
Eddie GoldmanDT5 starsOn TrackThe top defensive tackle recruit in the country looks to have a promising career ahead of him after being a starter in 2013.
Jameis WinstonQB5 starsOn TrackHeisman winner 2013, best QB in college football. 
Mario EdwardsDE5 starsOn TrackThe top strong-side defensive end recruit nationally came in a bit overweight, but worked his way into shape and played well down the stretch in 2012. Dominant player in 2013 expected to take another leap in 2014.
Ukeme EligweLB4 starsOn TrackVery athletic linebacker. Redshirted in 2012 after a wrist injury. Expected to start in 2014, but a lisfranc injury has that in question. 
Chris CasherDE4 starsOn TrackVery promising defensive end redshirted after a knee injury. Promising contributor in 2013, likely starter in 2014.
Mario PenderRB4 starsOn TrackRedshirted after multiple injuries in 2012, including a groin injury. Finally has academics on track, should play a lot in 2014.
Ronald DarbyDB4 starsOn TrackACC defensive freshman of the year 2012, dominant despite injury in 2013. 
Christo KourtzidisTE4 starsTransferredKourtzidis was promising but battled injury and homesickness after some of FSU's coachs left. 
P.J. WilliamsDB4 starsOn TrackElite cornerback.
Colin BlakeDB4 starsOn TrackRedshirted 2012 after injury. Should be a reserve for 2014.
Marvin BracyWR4 starsEarly proMaybe the fastest man in college football. Redshirted in 2012 after a hamstring injury. Turned pro in track.
Reggie NorthrupLB4 starsOn TrackVery promising linebacker recruit will contend for a starting job in 2014. Excellent balance.
Justin ShanksDT4 starsOn TrackShanks redshirted and improved a lot during 2012, losing roughly 40 pounds. He did not play much in 2013, and needs to get his career going.
Daniel GlauserOL3 starsCompleteGlauser was expected to have two years of eligibility, but the NCAA granted him just one after ruling that his time in Switzerland accounted for more than he first thought. Started two games and was a reserve.
Dalvon StuckeyDT3 starsDNQStuckey was a sign-&-place. He was not expected to make it in to Florida State.
Menelik WatsonOL3 starsEarly NFLWatson exceeded all expectations and had so much potential that he left for the NFL early and was a top pick. Physical freak who came to Florida State with almost no football experience. JUCO.
Roberto AguayoK3 starsOn TrackBest kicker in the country. 
Sean MaguireQB3 starsOn TrackRedshirted 2012, backup 2013 after Jacob Coker was injured, slated to be No. 2 in 2014.
Cason BeattyP2 starsOn TrackBeatty struggled for much of 2012 in his first year punting for the Noles. He wasn't much better in 2014 and remains the team's major weakness.
The 2013 recruiting class
Jalen RamseyDB5 starsOn TrackRamsey started as a freshman and is a blossoming superstar.
Matthew ThomasLB5 starsOn TrackThomas was injured as a freshman but is in line for a starting job in 2014.
E.J. LevenberrryLB4 starsOn TrackLevenberry had a solid first year.
Ira DensonOL4 starsDismissedDenson was involved with the shooting of a relative of a teammate and was dismissed. 
Ryan GreenRB4 starsOn TrackGreen has had two injury issues while on campus but is on track for playing time.
Levonte WhitfieldWR4 starsOn TrackWhitfield's TD in the BCS Championship Game keyed the Seminoles' comeback.
Demarcus WalkerDE4 starsOn TrackWalker played some important minutes as a freshmen.
Isaiah JonesWR4 starsOn TrackJones could see more playing time in 2014.
Freddie StevensonLB4 starsOn TrackStevenson should be the starter at fullback in 2014 after a position change.
Keith BryantDT4 starsOn TrackBryant should be a key contributor in 2014.
Marques WhiteATH4 starsOn TrackShould be a key reserve at cornerback in 2014. Also on the basketball team.
Jeremy KerrTE3 starsOn TrackShould be a key reserve at tight end in 2014.
John FranklinATH3 starsOn TrackThird-string quarterback with excellent athleticism.
Tyrell LyonsDB3 starsOn TrackReserve safety.
Nate AndrewsDB3 starsOn TrackPlayed a lot at safety in 2013, could start in 2014.
Ryan HoefeldOL3 starsOn TrackHoefeld is one of the reserve centers.
Desmond HollinDL3 starsOn TrackHollin moved to defensive tackle and should be a contributor in 2014.
Ro'Derrick HoskinsLB3 starsOn TrackHoskins could see a lot of time in the hybrid DE/OLB role.
Wilson BellOL3 starsOn TrackBell is a very promising offensive linemen.
Jesus WilsonWR3 starsOn TrackWilson could contend for a starting job at receiver in 2014.
Davarez BryantDL2 starsDNQBryant failed to qualify and is trying to get back to Florida State.
Ratings via Rivals.com

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