Florida State at Virginia Tech Under 51.5 points: Florida State's offense has not been very good on the road (averaging about 24 points in three games), while Virginia Tech's offense hasn't been good anywhere. Both of these defenses will be a lot better than any defense these two offenses have seen this season.
Pitt at UConn +3: The Huskies' defense is very aggressive, and I am not sure that Pitt will be focused this week in practice coming off the devastating triple-overtime loss to Notre Dame.
Miami at Virginia -1: Another play on motivation. Will Miami be fired up to play an early game in Charlottesville?
Dan Rubenstein, 60 percent on the year, picks five Week 11 games || Bill Connelly's numbers pick every game
Texas A&M at Alabama -13.5: Texas A&M has been kind to gamblers for much of the season, but Nick Saban's defenses have a way of crushing mobile quarterbacks, and A&M has not played in a hostile SEC environment to date. That changes Saturday.
Penn State at Nebraska -7: I like what Penn State has done this year, but am not confident in the Nittany Lions' ability to take its show on the road.
Utah at Washington Under 47.5 points: Utah has a very good defensive line, while Washington does not block well. Washington's defense plays with a lot of energy at home, and Utah's offense can be a bit one-dimensional.
Northwestern at Michigan Under 52.5 points: I missed on the Michigan under by a point last week, but that doesn't make me forget that the Wolverines' defense is much improved, particularly against the run.
Louisiana Lafayette +27 at Florida: Lafayette plays hard, and Florida will be resting some players as it prepares for Florida State at the end of November. It's hard to see Florida being motivated for this noon game that should feature a sparse crowd -- at least by Swamp standards.
Louisville at Syracuse +3: Syracuse gets very good quarterback play and has a shot to pull the upset here over a Louisville team that has almost sewn up the Big East.
Missouri at Tennessee -3: Missouri's defense is pretty good, but Tennessee's offense should be better. And while Tennessee's defense would seem to be the cure-all for an ailing offense like Missouri, Neyland stadium might not be the right place.
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